Analysis

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  • Natural gas prices are shaped by the severity of the previous winter weather

Drivers of US Natural Gas Price Volatility

Highlights Due to natural gas’ seasonal demand profile, weather and storage play significant roles in setting short-term natural gas prices. Combined with commodity cycles, these factors can enable natural gas prices to be exceptionally volatile. This volatility expresses itself in electricity markets through coal to natural gas displacement and electricity prices. The nature and severity [...]

By |March 13th, 2017|
  • NE Retiring and non-retiring nuclear units divided by state, ISO, and RGGI

Addressing the Plight of Existing Nuclear Retirements, Part 3

Highlights While states have a major role to play in preventing nuclear retirements, regional and federal solutions offer alternative avenues to keep nuclear plants operating. For ISOs, capacity market reform can reduce retirement pressure by more fully valuing the long-term benefits of nuclear generation in the overall electricity mix. Direct subsidies, like tax credits, may [...]

By |February 14th, 2017|
  • Regulated nuclear power plants face lower retirement risks than deregulated facilities, even once controlling for single versus multi-unit reactors

Addressing the Plight of Existing Nuclear Retirements, Part 2

This is the second article in a three-part series on existing nuclear in the United States. Part 1 identified and discussed major economic and policy challenges. Part 3 will look at other state, regional, and federal policy solutions. Highlights: Although the economic struggles of the existing US nuclear fleet are clear, potential solutions to these [...]

By |July 22nd, 2016|
  • Nuclear retirement risk partially depends on number of reactors per plant, capacity per unit, and capacity factors

Addressing the Plight of Existing Nuclear Retirements, Part 1

Highlights: A spate of recent retirement announcements from nuclear facilities could reduce generation from existing nuclear reactors by more than 10% by 2025 As nuclear represents the largest source of low-carbon electricity in the U.S., large-scale nuclear retirements threaten U.S. carbon reduction goals In the short term, low natural gas prices, electricity market design, and [...]

By |July 14th, 2016|

Critically Assessing Energy Modeling in the United States: Reflections on the U.S. Energy Information Administration and Renewable Energy Forecasts

The following is a guest post co-authored by one of our cofounders and Benjamin Sovacool. It is a response to a criticism of an article whose results we have cited and discussed numerous times. Although different than our normal analyses, this post addresses a lot of important issues in energy, energy modelling, and analysis methodologies. [...]

By |July 6th, 2016|